Search results for "Real economy"
showing 10 items of 11 documents
State Budget Constrains for 2013
2013
Abstract The state budget for 2013 is characterized by major constraints generated by the date of payment for the loans committed in the previous period, the high level of the payment arrears from the budget to the real economy, the insurance of the money amount required for the operational programs co-financing and by the acceptance of a lower budget deficit than in 2012, with negative consequences for the economic growth and that doesn’t ensure premises for reducing development gaps between Romania and other EU countries. Decreasing the economy financing by excessive budget deficit reduction is completed this year by the banks financing lines, which is still a handicap for financing the r…
Economic policy uncertainty effects for forecasting future real economic activity
2018
Recently introduced measures for Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) included in the data from 1997 - 2016 have a role in forecasting out-of-sample values for the future real economic activity for both the euro area and the UK economies. The inclusion of EPU measures, either for the US, the UK or for overall European economies, improves the forecasting ability of models based on standard financial market information, especially for the period before the 2008 global crisis. However, during and after the crisis period, the slope of the yield curve and excess stock market returns improves the out-of-sample forecast performance the most compared to an AR-benchmark model. Hence, the EPU informatio…
The euro area sovereign debt crisis: Can contagion spread from the periphery to the core?
2014
Abstract We examine the determinants of joint default risk of euro area countries during 2007–2011. To accomplish this, we recover joint default probabilities from individual CDS contracts. In contrast to earlier theoretical studies, we find that financial linkages are an active contagion transmission channel only in the case of the troubled periphery euro area economies. During the current sovereign debt crisis, real economy linkages play a more important role in transmitting shocks from the euro area periphery towards its core. Countries that have stronger trade interconnections with troubled economies tend to have a higher expected joint default risk.
A new scenario for banks: glocal banking. A theoretical approach to propose for Europe
2017
In the early 1990s, with the development of information and communication technology (ICT), global banks began looking for a new world consisting of markets rather than relationships through the development of standardised services in the markets. However, in the early 21st century, with the collapse of the speculative bubble and the financial crisis of 2008, which caused financial instability and damaged the real economy, the entire banking system and the market itself suffered profound changes in profitability. Thus, began efforts to develop a new cultural relationship between banks and companies known as 'glocal banking'. These include: studying the needs of customers, planning and provi…
An anatomy of financial crises in Norway, 1830-2010
2014
Author's version of an article in the journal: Financial History Review. Also available from the publisher at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0968565013000279 On the basis of a novel dataset, the article investigates the anatomy of financial crises in Norway from 1830 to 2010. First, nine significant crises are identified. Second, the article examines spillover effects on the real economy. We find a clear but not symmetric relationship. Third, the article investigates key patterns in credit and money volumes. Major financial crises typically occurred after substantial money and credit expansion, causing financial instability.
Exploring the finance-real economy link in U.S.: an empirical evidence from panel unit root and cointegration analysis
2011
International audience
Inflation in a virtual economy – a real or virtual threat?
2014
The aim of the paper is an analysis of the way and circumstances under which inflation can occur in a virtual economy. It is also an attempt to answer the question whether, and in what way virtual inflation may be related to inflation in the real economy. The article is conceptual, because in the present state of statistical data the effects of virtual economies are not carried out, or are generated in a very small number, which makes it impossible to make reliable calculations
Derechos sociales y deuda. Entre capitalismo y economía de mercado. || Social rights and debt. Between capitalism and market economy
2018
Resumen: Las finanzas pueden servir a los derechos sociales en una economía de mercado, porque en ella están subordinadas a la economía real, y tienen carácter limitado, pero no en el capitalismo porque en él las finanzas son autorreferenciales, no tienen término, y conducen a una sociedad indefinidamente endeudada, en la que las deudas son impagables. 
 
 Abstract: Finance can be useful for social rights in a market economy. This is due to the fact of the subordination of finance to real economy and due to its limited character. In contrast, finance in a capitalist economy is self-referential, are boundless and lead to a society in which debts are unpayable.
International Exchanges in a Globalized World
2018
A reality today is that the economy, characterized by the expansion and development of financial mechanisms, cannot be conceived without the stock exchange: the real economy is reflected in the trend of stock, and, in turn, the stock can influence – good or bad – the economic life. Thus, by the rise of globalization, as instruments of capital accumulation, stock exchange has become the most effective way of targeting the capital available in the economy to the most profitable use. The market will determine which companies will be funded and what is the cost of their capital. The decisive factor is the efficiency with which companies use this capital. In this way, international stock markets…
Financial distress and real economic activity in Lithuania: a Granger causality test based on mixed-frequency VAR
2020
In this paper, we extend the monthly financial stress index for Lithuania, computed by the European Central Bank, to a daily frequency and we also include banking sector stress among its constituents, beyond bond, equity and foreign exchange markets. We investigate the causal relationship between the daily financial stress index and monthly industrial production growth, using a Granger causality test applied to a mixed-frequency VAR. Our results suggest evidence of Granger causality from financial stress to industrial production growth once the index is enriched by daily observations from the financial markets. Our findings, based on impulse response analysis, confirm the negative effect of…